Bump and Run Reversal Top
UptrendConfirmation
A decisive break below the lead-in trendline, followed by failure to reclaim it.Invalidation
Recovery above the bump high or sustained acceptance back above the trendline.
A steep speculative advance loses momentum, rounds over and breaks its supporting trendline.
Late buyers chase an accelerating move; once momentum fades, trapped longs can amplify the reversal.
Volume often expands during the bump and again on the breakdown.
The setup forms near a meaningful support, resistance or trend transition.
Defining swing points are visible without forcing the label.
Volume, volatility or relative strength supports the resolution.
| Aggressive | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|
| Trigger | Early boundary resolution | Close plus acceptance or retest |
| Advantage | Better potential entry | More confirmation |
| Trade-off | Higher false-break risk | May enter later or miss the move |
Measured targets are planning references, not forecasts. Position size should be derived from defined account risk and the actual invalidation distance.
A pattern can satisfy the visual outline yet fail because it forms in the wrong context, lacks sufficient touch points, breaks on weak participation or immediately returns inside the structure. A failed setup is information, not an exception to ignore.
Use alternative interpretations to reduce confirmation bias. Similar patterns can imply different behaviour depending on prior trend, boundary slope and confirmation trigger.